Statistics

Monty Hall Problem Calculator

Compare staying versus switching in the Monty Hall problem.

Parameters Live Compute
Calculated Output
Win by switching (%) 66.667
Win by staying (%) 33.333
Formula: stay = 1/N; switch = (N−1)/(N·(N−2))
Step-by-Step Breakdown
1. Values used:
2. Number of doors = 3
3.
4. Win by switching = 66.667%
5. Win by staying = 33.333%
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After the host opens one losing door, switching beats staying — counterintuitively.

The math behind it

Staying wins 1/N; switching wins (N−1)/(N(N−2)) when the host opens one door. For 3 doors that's 2/3 vs 1/3.

Worked Example

3 doors → stay 33.3%, switch 66.7%.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is switching better?

Your first pick is usually wrong, so the host's reveal concentrates the prize on the other door.

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